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The global aviation industry endured an incredibly difficult period as the Covid-19 pandemic spread around the world. Governments placing travel restrictions meant little to no revenues for commercial airlines, which created a significant cash crunch for these companies while stock prices dropped. However, the strict lockdowns did not last long (relatively speaking) and airlines could assume their daily operations. Despite this, customers were weary of long flights and high ticket prices for some time after the world started to open up again.
With this challenging period now seemingly a thing of the past, the airline industry is seeking to remedy the damage done by the pandemic and to find strategies to remain profitable and achieve meaningful growth.
The Covid-19 pandemic has dealt a huge blow to the global airline industry, whose revenues totaled $328 billion in 2020 alone. The lockdown measures decimated revenues, with a majority of airlines only operating freight carriers, as leisure travel was completely prohibited in most countries.
This major disruption caused airlines to accrue vast sums of debt to weather the storm, which will have an impact on how they operate in the future. New debt requires additional revenues to pay off the interest, which, coupled with rising inflation rates, is likely to lead to higher ticket prices for flights. However, there is another side to this, which is the consumers. After spending months in lockdown, people are likely to take vacations to reconnect with their surroundings and travel more to depressurize after a stressful period spent stuck at home.
This is the big bet for the airlines, as business flights remain in lower demand due to the new work-from-home culture that has remained even after the pandemic.
American Airlines is a network carrier that offers air transportation services for passengers and cargo. The company has hubs in major U.S. cities like Chicago, Dallas, New York, Philadelphia, Miami, Charlotte, Washington D.C., and Phoenix. The company’s mainline fleet consists of 865 carriers.
American Airlines was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
American Airlines had a challenging year in 2022. After the pandemic woes had lifted and leisure travel started to pick up again, the stock marked a significant rally. However, ballooning debt, problems with the Boeing 737, and supply costs pressured the stock downward in what has been a resilient bear market across the board.
Despite all this, American Airlines is optimistic about the rising demand for leisure flights and expects revenues to grow further in 2023. Heated competition and high costs have hindered the company’s ability to turn a profit in 2021, but this has not been the case in 2022, which is important for AAL’s cash supply in the long run.
Q3 FY 2022 | Q2 FY 2022 | Q3 FY 2021 | Full FY 2021 | |
Revenue | $13,462 mln | $13,422 mln | $8,969 mln | $29,882 mln |
Cost of revenue | $10,638 mln | $10,517 mln | $7,937 mln | $29,855 mln |
Operating expense | $1,894 mln | $1,888 mln | $1,427 mln | $5,073 mln |
Net income | $483 mln | $476 mln | $169 mln | ($1,993 mln) |
Diluted EPS | 0.69 | 0.68 | 0.25 | (3.09) |
Assets | $66,652 mln | $67,963 mln | $68,437 mln | $66,467 mln |
Liabilities | $74,545 mln | $76,385 mln | $75,874 mln | $73,807 mln |
Equity | ($7,893 mln) | ($8,422 mln) | ($7,437 mln) | ($7,340 mln) |
Cash & cash equivalents | $11,232 mln | $12,522 mln | $14,536 mln | $12,431 mln |
Free cash flow | ($1,166 mln) | $1,047 mln | ($1,765 mln) | $292 mln |
American’s financials have picked up considerably since the end of 2021. While QoQ revenue growth is nothing to write home about, the company can secure its cash reserves once again, thanks to profitable quarters. It must be noted that revenues are still significantly lower than pre-pandemic levels, which has been a common theme across the entire aviation industry post-Covid. The company’s debt burden is an important factor that American Airlines needs to address in the long run, especially after interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.
American Airlines has been actively trying to combat the major headwinds in 2022 and has unveiled some important plans throughout the year:
Ryanair Holdings provides scheduled passenger flights in Europe. The company also provides auxiliary services, such as duty-free, food, merchandise, marketing for accommodation, and car rental services.
The company has an aircraft fleet of over 500 planes, including 483 Boeing 737s and 29 Airbus A320s.
Ryanair was founded in 1985 and is based in Swords, Ireland.
Ryanair’s stock chart echoes the same issues faced by the aviation industry in 2022. The bear market and rising interest rates have pressured the heavily debt-laden airlines. Ryanair stock has lost nearly 30% of its value since the start of the year.
Revenue growth and increased demand have helped Ryanair remain positive for 2023. The company also took a different route than most airlines by retaining most of its employees and now enjoys full staffing and is in a prime position to meet growing demand.
A return to profitability also has analysts optimistic about the stock in the long term. Some analysts even maintain an upside of over 50% for Ryanair stock.
Q3 FY 2022 | Q2 FY 2022 | Q3 FY 2021 | Full FY 2021 | |
Revenue | EUR 4,014.6 mln | EUR 2,601.5 mln | EUR 1,784.4 mln | EUR 4,800.9 mln |
Cost of revenue | EUR 2,545.1 mln | EUR 2,188.2 mln | EUR 1,434 mln | EUR 4,680.2 mln |
Operating expense | EUR 193.7 mln | EUR 173.7 mln | EUR 96.4 mln | EUR 460.3 mln |
Net income | EUR 1,075.9 mln | EUR 187.5 mln | EUR 225 mln | (EUR 240.8 mln) |
Diluted EPS | 4.73 | 0.82 | 1.00 | (1.06) |
Assets | EUR 16,597.3 mln | EUR 16,970.2 mln | EUR 14,069.5 mln | EUR 15,149.8 mln |
Liabilities | EUR 9,931.2 mln | EUR 10,761 mln | EUR 9,136.6 mln | EUR 9,604.5 mln |
Equity | EUR 6,666.1 mln | EUR 6,209.2 mln | EUR 4,932.9 mln | EUR 5,545.3 mln |
Cash & cash equivalents | EUR 4,568.9 mln | EUR 4,621.5 mln | EUR 4,218.2 mln | EUR 3,603.1 mln |
Free cash flow | (EUR 137.3 mln) | EUR 994.4 mln | EUR 215.9 mln | EUR 758.9 mln |
Ryanair’s financials show a strong turnaround from the pandemic woes and losses. The company is profitable and maintains a strong cash position, which is vital for long-term financial stability.
Unlike many of its competitors, Ryanair has a healthy balance sheet and was able to keep liabilities in check during the pandemic years. Q3 net income was also a surprise, with the company bringing in over EUR 1 billion in profits.
Ryanair has been actively working to turn things around in 2022:
Alaska Air provides cargo and passenger flights through its three business segments; Horizon, Mainline, and Regional. The company’s fleet primarily consists of Boeing 737 airplanes.
Alaska Air was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington, United States.
Alaska Air’s stock started the year at a higher valuation but declined as the bear market pressured stocks downward. Despite favorable Q3 financials, the stock is still lower than it was at the start of the year, a drop of over 13% since the start of 2022.
Analysts view the drop as an opportunity for new investors to buy the stock and expect it to steadily regain lost positions in the long run.
Alaska Air has managed to bounce back from the financial woes of the pandemic and is seeking to bolster revenues in a market plagued with rising material costs, bearish investor sentiment, and higher interest rates.
Q3 FY 2022 | Q2 FY 2022 | Q3 FY 2021 | Full FY 2021 | |
Revenue | $2,828 mln | $2,658 mln | $1,953 mln | $6,176 mln |
Cost of revenue | $2,232 mln | $2,070 mln | $1,529 mln | $4,822 mln |
Operating expense | $289 mln | $255 mln | $175 mln | $680 mln |
Net income | $40 mln | $139 mln | $194 mln | $478 mln |
Diluted EPS | 0.31 | 1.09 | 1.53 | 3.77 |
Assets | $14,531 mln | $14,800 mln | $13,882 mln | $13,951 mln |
Liabilities | $10,705 mln | $11,001 mln | $10,351 mln | $10,150 mln |
Equity | $3,826 mln | $3,799 mln | $3,531 mln | $3,801 mln |
Cash & cash equivalents | $3,150 mln | $3,425 mln | $3,195 mln | $3,116 mln |
Free cash flow | ($141 mln) | $604 mln | ($194 mln) | $738 mln |
Alaska Air has a relatively healthy balance sheet with sufficient cash available to fund future growth. However, the thin profit margins, especially in Q3 2022, have caused the company’s EPS to gradually decline quarter after quarter, which may be a cause for concern if the trend is maintained going forward.
On the other hand, revenue growth has been solid in 2022, and shareholders will be looking forward to Alaska Air withstanding high material costs and improving profitability once supply chain issues have subsided.
Alaska Air has made efforts to weather the headwinds hitting the market in 2022, some notable developments include:
Deutsche Lufthansa is an airline company operating in Germany and internationally. The company’s Eurowings segment provides passenger flights to over 50 countries.
The Logistics Business segment is responsible for the handling and transportation of cargo, including valuables, perishables, hazardous goods, live animals, etc.
The MRO segment provides repair and maintenance services to manufacturers and leasing companies.
The company was founded in 1926 and is based in Cologne, Germany. Deutsche Lufthansa operates a combined fleet of 713 aircraft.
Lufthansa’s stock chart shows a few major swings, which were triggered by positive quarterly reports - sending the stock higher. Overall, Lufthansa has been the rare case of an airline stock that has increased in value over the course of 2022 - gaining over 12% since the start of the year.
While Lufthansa’s growth may not continue without interruptions in 2023, analysts are nonetheless expecting a positive year overall. The company has also managed to turn the tide toward profitability once more, adding to the optimism.
Q3 FY 2022 | Q2 FY 2022 | Q3 FY 2021 | Full FY 2021 | |
Revenue | EUR 10,068 | EUR 8,462 mln | EUR 5,207 mln | EUR 16,811 mln |
Cost of revenue | EUR 8,268 mln | EUR 7,375 mln | EUR 4,668 mln | EUR 16,814 mln |
Operating expense | EUR 727 mln | EUR 738 mln | EUR 328 mln | EUR 2,232 mln |
Net income | EUR 809 mln | EUR 259 mln | (EUR 72 mln) | (EUR 2,191 mln) |
Diluted EPS | 0.68 | 0.22 | (0.15) | (2.99) |
Assets | EUR 47,559 mln | EUR 46,938 mln | EUR 41,903 mln | EUR 42,538 mln |
Liabilities | EUR 38,378 mln | EUR 39,011 mln | EUR 38,209 mln | EUR 38,048 mln |
Equity | EUR 9,181 mln | EUR 7,927 mln | EUR 3,694 mln | EUR 4,490 mln |
Cash & cash equivalents | EUR 9,723 mln | EUR 9,365 mln | EUR 7,258 mln | EUR 7,597 mln |
Free cash flow | EUR 442 mln | EUR 2,175 mln | EUR 60 mln | (EUR 700 mln) |
While Lufthansa’s revenue growth looks impressive, gross revenues are still below pre-pandemic levels. However, the company is turning a profit and has avoided a significant cash crunch or added liabilities through debt financing. The positive free cash flow from Q2 and Q3 of 2022 are positive signs of the company’s ability to work through the high material costs and relatively irregular demand of 2022. Going into 2023, the financials point to Lufthansa’s ability to capitalize on opportunities.
Some highlights from Lufthansa’s newsroom in 2022 include:
Delta Air Lines provides passenger and cargo transportation in the U.S. and internationally. The company conducts business through two segments, namely Airline and Refinery.
The Airline segment oversees the flight operations, while the Refinery segment focuses on the support, repair, and maintenance of Delta’s fleet of 1,200 aircraft.
The company has core hubs in the cities of Atlanta, Detroit, Salt Lake City, and Boston.
Delta Air Lines was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Similarly to other entries, Delta Air Lines has fallen considerably since the start of 2022 but has managed to rebound since October, as the new holiday season boosts travel demands.
Much of the fall can be attributed to macroeconomic headwinds, which have affected the entirety of the stock market. However, Delta shareholders are hopeful for a comeback. Despite falling net income and profit margins, Delta’s revenue growth is solid, as the company continues the path toward regaining lost positions due to the Covid-19 pandemic.
x | Q3 FY 2022 | Q2 FY 2022 | Q3 FY 2021 | Full FY 2021 |
Revenue | $13,975 mln | $13,824 mln | $9,154 mln | $29,899 mln |
Cost of revenue | $11,250 mln | $11,289 mln | $8,073 mln | $30,078 mln |
Operating expense | $1,269 mln | $1,016 mln | ($1,157 mln) | ($2,046 mln) |
Net income | $695 mln | $735 mln | $1,212 mln | $280 mln |
Diluted EPS | 1.08 | 1.15 | 1.89 | 0.44 |
Assets | $72,596 mln | $74,804 mln | $72,783 mln | $72,459 mln |
Liabilities | $68,006 mln | $70,994 mln | $70,177 mln | $68,572 mln |
Equity | $4,590 mln | $3,811 mln | $2,606 mln | $3,887 mln |
Cash & cash equivalents | $8,368 mln | $10,770 mln | $13,202 mln | $11,319 mln |
Free cash flow | ($573 mln) | $1,577 mln | $679 mln | $17 mln |
Delta has seen steadily growing revenues while returning to profitability. However, the company’s cash reserves have had a reduction. Delta may retain some of its earnings to create a cash cushion to soften the blows dealt by the bear market while accessing funds for additional growth in the long run.
Highlights from Delta’s 2022 newsroom include the following:
The airline market has shown resilience and willingness to overcome the problems caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. Coupled with the russia-Ukraine war and increased material costs the bottom lines of almost all commercial airline companies have been greatly impacted.
However, as consumers resume traveling, the airlines have regained profitability, and are working on reducing their debt burden and increasing operational efficiency for 2023.
Airline stocks have managed to rebound from the pandemic woes of 2020 which saw record losses and revenue declines for airlines. Stocks are looking to regain lost revenue and return to pre-pandemic levels, which implies more future growth opportunities.
Some of the largest airlines, such as Lufthansa, Delta, and American Airlines, are poised to take advantage of growth opportunities in 2023, as they have sufficient cash reserves to withstand the Covid-19 pandemic and probably weather the fears of a looming recession.
With the global economy facing inflation in 2022, potential turnarounds in 2023 could boost consumer spending and stimulate the airline industry. Currently, investors can buy airline stocks at a discount compared to pre-pandemic levels.