Our partner, XM, lets you access a free demo account to apply your knowledge.
No hidden costs, no tricks.
Borrowing money at lower interest rates and investing it in higher-yielding assets is the simplest description of a classical carry trade approach. The concept itself was popularized by Japanese housewives who often were in charge of family funds and together with personal computers and internet rise started to trade Japanese yen and US dollar. Let’s dive deeper into carry trade and explain popular strategies everyone can use.
If the Japanese yen can be borrowed for 1% and the USD or other currency has a higher interest rate of 5%, it could be feasible to borrow the Japanese yen and buy the USD. This is a simplification of a carry trade but the basic concept is clear, you want to borrow cheaply and invest in assets with higher interest rates. A more formal definition would be like this: Carry trade is a financial strategy where an investor tries to borrow money in a currency with a low interest rate and invest it in a currency or asset offering a higher interest rate. An investor employing a carry trade aims to make money in interest rate differential. Carry trade is only achievable when the high-yielding currency investment exceeds the cost of borrowing in the low-yielding currency. So, we are leveraging the difference in interest rates between two financial instruments or currencies.
The strategy was born in currency markets where it is possible to exchange one currency for another and as the electronics allowed wide access to foreign exchange markets, carry trade gained wild popularity. Japanese housewives were among the first ones to start making a lot of money using the carry trade strategy. Japanese banks usually had the lowest interest rates among currencies. Traders widely used these low-interest rates to invest yen into USD, which had higher yielding rates. This policy of the Japanese central bank made the Japanese yen (JPY) a popular choice for the low-interest-rate currency, in carry trade transactions. The strategy was so widely used by the Japanese community that the women using the carry trade were called Mrs. Watanabe. This became a symbol of fearless women and was a very popular term among Japanese communities.
The simplest way to carry a carry trade is to borrow money in low-interest-rate currency, convert it into a high-interest-rate asset, invest it, and aim to profit from the interest rate difference. Let’s pick an example and a step-by-step process to help our readers and investors understand how this method works.
Before you can use a carry trade strategy, you need to select a legit broker. Reliable brokers are also well-regulated, which you can check on their website. Ensure the broker has the currencies or assets you want to carry trade.
The first thing to do after the trading account is ready is to check for interest rates of JPY (Japanese Yen) and USD. You want to confirm that JPY has a lower interest rate than USD or vice versa. It could also be cryptocurrencies and fiat currencies. Check if staking rewards are much more than the cost of borrowing the money. For simplicity, we will use JPY and USD as an example.
After you have spotted a significant difference between the interest rates of the two currencies, it's time to start employing a carry trade. Borrow JPY from your broker, which typically involves selecting a leverage ratio (e.g., 10:1) to borrow a larger amount than your initial deposit.
Convert the borrowed JPY into USD at the current exchange rate. We convert from lower-cost currency to higher-yield currency.
It may seem tricky but is a fairly straightforward process. We got your back. You can now invest your USD into high-yielding assets like US treasury bonds a savings account with a higher interest rate, or a cryptocurrency that offers higher staking rates. You must be extremely cautious with cryptos as they are known for large price swings and scams.
Monitor the interest rates and ensure your carry trade stays relevant. When you decide to close your trade repay the yen with interest and if the USD investment had a higher yield rate you will get a profit.
As would already tell, there are risks involved with deploying the carry trade strategies. So, what are the exact risks involved in carrying trade strategies? Let’s consider all of them and find a solution for each one.
This is the most obvious and dangerous risk of the carry trade approach. If the currency value fluctuates too quickly and the yen appreciates there is a serious chance of losing money. Suppose you borrowed the yen to get USD. But suddenly, the yen started to appreciate against the dollar. Now each of your USD can buy less yen, meaning if you exchanged your funds back to yen you would get less money than what you borrowed. This is a common risk associated with carry trade and usually the major one behind losses.
This one has a lesser impact, because if the interest rate on USD starts to decline you still can easily convert back to yen and end up in break even.
Liquidity means how fast you can convert your currency to another one. In the case of exotic currencies with lower trading volumes, spreads, and commissions are usually high, eating up most of the profits. But a more serious issue is: that it is difficult to convert exotic currencies into another currency. And if the exchange rate is changing fast you do not want to wait a long time before you can convert your money back. In the case of yen and USD, this is very low risk as both currencies are major currencies with high liquidity all the time.
Crypto markets gained huge capitalization by the low-interest rates in the United States. Investors would borrow money and invest in high-yield crypto-staking projects making lots of money in the process. Since cryptos are super risky and known for an abundance of scams and frauds, many people also lose lots of money. But this is by far the most relevant example of a modern carry trade.
If you are planning to deploy a carry trade strategy, make sure you take into account these tips.
Our partner, XM, lets you access a free demo account to apply your knowledge.
No hidden costs, no tricks.